【禁聞】GDP貢獻率超美 專家:中共混淆概念

【新唐人2011年12月10日訊】大陸最近幾天人民幣匯率出現了貶值，大陸國新辦日前發佈中國首個《中國對外貿易》白皮書。商務部官員表示，中國對世界GDP增量的貢獻率高於美國。經濟學家表示，發展中國家的經濟是從很低的基礎開始增長，怎麼可能超過已開發國家的經濟貢獻，中共利用偷換概念欺騙中國老百姓。

12月7號，中共國務院新聞辦公室發表了《中國的對外貿易》白皮書，這是中共首份對外貿易白皮書。商務部官員在新聞發佈會上說，2000到2009年中國對世界經濟的纍計貢獻率已經超過20%，高於美國。

經濟學家謝田表示，如果按中共商務部官員的話講，好像是中國給世界經濟貢獻了20%，實際上不是這樣。

謝田：「中國作為一個窮國，發展中國家，它這個增長是從很低的那些基礎開始增長，就顯得很快。所以這個增長本身並不是說對經濟的貢獻，而是對增長的貢獻。所以，這個中共官員刻意把這兩個概念給混淆起來。給人的印象好像中國經濟對世界的貢獻超過美國。中國的經濟只有4、5萬億美元，它怎麼可能超過15萬億美元的美國經濟？這是明顯的欺世謊言。」

國家統計局發佈2011年上半年中國GDP總共204,459億元，增長9.6%。隨後傳出各省市上報的GDP相差2萬億，顯示地方政府普遍多報。中國GDP數據再次成為全球最大笑柄。

謝田：「中國這個經濟數據（GDP）絕對是造假的。這個10%的數據，很多學者認為，可能只有百分之3到4，甚至還更低。最近看來呢，中國的經濟已經出現了滯脹，就是說已經出現了停滯。」

自今年以來，溫州許多中小企業因資金鏈斷裂，而發生老闆潛逃或跳樓自殺事件，許多企業倒閉、積欠員工薪資等。

市場營銷專業人士劉先生：「根據這一段時間，廣州、上海全國各地罷工浪潮比較大。那麼它想通過這個東西來替一下事情，使大家不至於因這個東西造成混亂，怕國內的局勢失控。這是一個方面。另一個方面，因為目前來講，人民幣的匯率不斷的跌，很多外幣資金它要撤離，它也是把這個東西放出來，安定這些急於脫身的外幣資金。」

大陸《中國網》報導，本週四，人民幣兌美元即期匯價跌0.5%，連續八天跌到日交易區間的下限，3年來罕見。中共商務部官員崇泉說，「人民幣前兩天出現了貶值，正說明中共政府從來沒有操縱匯率。」

謝田：「這是政府控制的，當然是政府控制的。就是說在外匯掛牌的時候，每天、每個月和每個季度，浮動的幅度是多少，這些已經被中共政府限制了。在這個微小的幅度之內，才可以允許匯率上下有所變動，但一旦超過這個幅度的話，它馬上就跌停，馬上就停止交易。這是我們現在看到的情況，這個就是真正的操控。」

謝田最後表示，這就更說明，中共官員內心虛弱，擔心中國的經濟很快出現崩潰，而在全世界輿論和公眾面前公然撒謊，欺騙中國的老百姓。

新唐人記者林莉、唐睿、王明宇採訪報導。

China’s GDP Contribution Rate, A Confusing Concept

Recently, the RMB has experienced devaluation.

China’s State Council Information Office (SCIO) released

the first white paper on “China’s foreign trade”.

Officials from the Commerce Department claimed that

China’s proportion of global GDP has kept increasing,

with its current contribution rate to growth exceeding that

of the USA. Economists refuted that China’s economy started from a very low basis.

It is impossible to exceed the contribution to the global

economy from that of other developed countries.

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is confusing

the concepts to mislead Chinese people.

On Dec.7, the SCIO released its first white paper on

“China’s foreign trade”.

An official from the Commerce Department claimed on

a news conference that

China’s accumulative contribution rate to the global economy

was over 20% from 2000 to 2009, exceeding that of the USA.

The economist Xie Tian said that what the official from the

CCP reported sounded like China had contributed 20% of the global economy, which was not the case.

Xie Tian said: “As a poor developing country, its growth

began from an extremely low basis, and so growth seemed to be fast as a result.

So this number does not refer to its contribution to the

global economy, but to economic growth.

This official deliberately confused these two concepts,

creating an illusion that China has contributed more than the USA to the global economy.

China only has an economy of 4 to 5 trillion USD.

How could it exceed the 15 trillion USD economy of the USA? It is not the case at all.”

The State Statistics Bureau released China’s GDP figures for

the first half of 2011 as being 20 trillion yuan, with a 9.6% growth rate.

Soon after, it was revealed that many local governments

exaggerated their figures by 2 trillion yuan in total.

China’s GDP thus became of some amusement to the world.

Xie Tian: “The GDP claimed by the Chinese government is

definitely fake.

The real growth rate, according to many economists might be

only 3 to 4% or even lower, rather than 10%.

Recently, China’s economy has started to experience

stagnation, meaning a standstill.”

Starting this year, many minor enterprises in Wenzhou City

had their owners either run away or commit suicide, because of the break in the fund-chain.

Many enterprises went bankrupt or delayed paying the wages

of their employees.

A marketing expert Mr. Liu said: “Recently, waves of strikes

have hit many places like Guangzhou and Shanghai.

On the one hand, the CCP intends to calm people down

with this report and thus avoid losing control.

On the other hand, the RMB exchange rate keeps dropping,

with many foreign investments being withdrawn.

The CCP released the report to retain the foreign investments.”

According to china.com.cn in mainland China, the RMB spot

exchange rate to USD decreased 0.5% this Thursday,

hitting the lower band of the daily transaction range over 8 days in a row,

which was a rare occurrence over the past three years.

Chong Quan, an official from the Commerce Department said:

“RMB has experienced a decrease recently, indicating that

the CCP government has never manipulated the exchange rate.”

Xie Tian said: “Of course, it is controlled by the government.

Before the foreign exchange is listed,

the floating range every day, every month or every season,

has been controlled by the CCP.

Within the allowed range, the exchange rate can float.

But once it runs beyond that range, the transactions are shut down immediately.

This fact indicates that is under the control of the CCP.”

Xie Tian also said that the facts show that CCP officials are

worried about the coming collapse of China’s economy,

and are therefore lying to the world’s media and general public,

misleading Chinese people.

NTD reporters Lin Li, Tang Rui and Wang Mingyu